DL we can all handpick results. Why is that the ultra rightwing "Liberal in name only" BC Liberals were supposed to win by about 10 points according to all the final polls and instead they won by 3? We do know that that McGuinty, Charest, Campbell and Stelmach are HATED and they are the premiers of the four largest provinces. Lastly, New Brunswick is doing very badly economically, with the government having announced a $749-million deficit. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. The writs of election were issued by Lieutenant Governor Brenda Murphy on August 17, 2020, after a request was made by Premier Blaine Higgs to dissolve the legislature. DL,Danny Williams, Robert Ghiz, Brad Wall - all popular premiers. It's probably worth noting, in defense of your projection, that Tracadie-Sheila wasn't actually the NDP's best shot at a seat. Only Danny Williams remains popular.This is not good news for Harper either.

Then why is that in the Nova Scotia election last year, the Tories did just as badly if not worse than the final polls suggested? The Tories, knowing that promising too much is never a good idea, went down the easy road of promising things which will be hard, very hard, to do: balancing the books without cutting spending, for example. Getting it right in the abscense of any data that reflected the eventual result would have required some local information beyond polling data... or just more data. NDP leader Roger Duguay had set his hopes in Tracadie-Sheila, a coastal Acadian seat held by the Tories, a seat which the NDP hadn’t even contested back in 2006. Since our papers including our weekly locals are owned by Irving-they had a stake in trying to keep it close in the minds of NB'ers. But the media continued to say-"close race". This was great election coverage.Saskatchewan's next general election is about a year away. In the last year we saw the Tories wiped out by the NDP in Nova Scotia, now we see the NB Liberals annhilated and according to polls the Liberal governments of Quebec, BC and Ontario are all hated and way behind their competition and the Tories in Alberta seem to be in trouble as well and it looks like the Manitoba NDP may be running out of steam as well after 11 years. Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment. The pre-election polls told us that Shawn Graham was the most hated premier in Canada and they told us that he was trailing the Tories for most of the past year - ever since the NB Hydro controversy erupted. The Progressive Conservative opposition was not all that spectacular, and its leader elected in 2008, David Alward, is not extremely charismatic.

( Log Out /  Did they ask people which party they would vote for or which leader would make the best premier. "Over the last couple of decades the polls have underestimated the right of centre vote. Learn how your comment data is processed. Accessibility & Accommodation Elections NB strives to ensure that the buildings it uses during elections are accessible and can accommodate the needs of voters with various challenges. I guess it keeps pollsters going and the media selling papers.

Kelly Lamrock, the former Education Minister (of French immersion fiasco fame), also went down in flames 47-36 to the Tories in Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak. I echo the congratulations, Éric. The NDP, indeed, after having had an inept leader in 2006, turned to a well-liked and amiable former priest, Roger Duguay, who was also a Francophone. From Wikimedia Commons, the free media repository. Tellingly, in ‘best PM’ polls, Alward or Graham rarely broke 30%. Shawn Graham will go to the dustbin of history as New Brunswick’s first Premier to lose after only one-term.

Not too surprisingly, he won’t stay on as leader and the Liberals have a much reduced caucus from which to choose their next leader. A general election for New Brunswick’s 55 provincial legislature was held on September 27, the first fixed-date election in the province. Ontario Tories on track for best result since Mike... 2010 New Brunswick Election Results vs.

All structured data from the file and property namespaces is available under the. New Brunswick politics have remained remarkably stable, with the Liberals and Conservatives alternating in power since Confederation.

Here are the results, with seat counts compared to the 2006 election (seat count at dissolution was PC 21, Liberal 32, vacant 2): Progressive Conservative 48.92% (+1.44%) winning 42 seats (+16) Follow the results of the New Brunswick Election at CBC News. It was also during this time that the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick (PANB) was formed by Kris Austin, who had lost the PC nomination in Grand Lake-Gagetown. Until someone does a rigorous and robust analysis of all the polling data and all the results of elections in the past two decades or so i'd say both you and BCVOR are offside here. The government’s decisions in matters such as post-secondary education, French immersion were also controversial. Eric-there are a few things that may lead to more accurate predictions:1) Over the last couple of decades the polls have underestimated the right of centre vote. The PC victory, while predictable, was much larger than anybody had predicted.

Shawn Graham, who had succeeded his father in the riding of Kent in 1998, had come close to throwing out Bernard Lord after only one term in 2003, but the PCs narrowly held on with 28 seats to the Liberals’ 26 and 1 New Democrat. This file contains additional information such as Exif metadata which may have been added by the digital camera, scanner, or software program used to create or digitize it. Please do not use any derogatory terms for fellow commenters, parties, or politicians. Red Tory Liberal said...BC Voice of Reason,Where did you get this 50% approval rating for Harper? Actually, you did predict 49% for the PCs and no seats for the NDP except the Liberals performed even weaker than everybody expected. about New Brunswick’s electoral system.

This page was last edited on 18 August 2017, at 02:42. I'm trying to figure out this Ontario poll.