For several days, forecast models had anticipated for the trough to evolve into a closed low pressure area,[2] and on May 6, a frontal low with a large and well-defined circulation developed about 90 miles (140 km) east of Cape Hatteras. And if it is moutainous terrain the threat of flash-floods and mud slides will be high, in addition to the expected storm surge. Wed, 22 Aug 2007 09:27:28 -0400 (AST) - I'm back! A slight jog to the north and you have the eye.

Just as a side note I manipulate the Discussion-advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center a bit, so that windspeeds of the 5-day forecast are in miles per hour, instead of knots, and I also add the storm classification because I always forget the exact wind-thresholds for Category-2, 3, etc. All NOAA, US Dept of Commerce Fri, 17 Aug 2007 08:18:44 -0400 (AST) - Damaging Dean, Thu, 16 Aug 2007 06:27:38 -0400 (AST) - "Himmacane Dean", Wed, 15 Aug 2007 19:58:04 -0400 (AST) - More Dean, Wednesday August 15, 2007, 9:45M EDT - More south See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. Maintained & moderated by: Gert van Dijken (gert@gobeach.com).Weather discussions also by Dave McDermott, St.Thomas, USVI. Also, important to note is that we shouldn't focus solely on the eye. 99L is nearing Barbados, luckily it has not become a tropical storm yet, but squally weather is expected. So to everyone, good luck this season! Wed, 31 Oct 2007 06:53:52 -0400 (AST) - More Noel, Tuesday, October 30, 2007, 9:15PM EDT - Rain does it again... However, it is forecasted to move towards Jamaica and the Cayman Islands.

Hurricane Noel was the most deadliest this year, killing more then 150 people in Hispaniola. Although the remnants of Karen, which got battered by wind shear and finally had to give up, still looks like a big mess. The image I am using originates from the excellent tropical cyclones website of the Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMMS) at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Tropical Depression 14 was yesterday upgraded to Tropical Storm Melissa, but it is now a tropical depression again. -Gert. Wednesday May 9, 2007, 11:44AM EDT - First storm! Check out the reports from Aruba, Bonaire and Curaçao. Sun, 2 Sep 2007 09:56:22 -0400 (AST) - Gabrielle? However it is not expected to become a hurricane. -Gert. Saturday September 8, 2007, 13:25PM EDT - Riders on the storm

Its maximum sustained winds of 45 miles per hour (75 km per hour) were not expected to strengthen as it edged west at 3 mph (5 kph).

In early May, an upper-level trough dropped southward through the western Atlantic Ocean, forcing a back-door cold front—a cold front that moves southwestward ahead of a building surface ridge to its north or northeast—southward. Both storms didn.t affect the islands. New to RSS? The rain will probably the biggest problem. Atlantic Hurricane Season has officially started today, although we already had our first named storm. Click on the 'closest point-link' above for your island.

Also new is that I now also feature the most recent Tropical Weather Discussion, which talks about tropical waves and other weather features. -Gert. Especially noteworthy is the NOAA/NESDIS page which has links to storm/invest-specific 'floaters'.

-Gert, Sat, 18 Aug 2007 15:16:35 -0400 (AST) - Scorpion King Dean, Saturday August 18, 2007, 9:15AM EDT - Pleas for Help forum

Tropical depression Eight finally became Tropical Storm Ingrid.

After encountering dry air and strong vertical wind shear, Andrea weakened to a subtropical depression on May 10 while remaining nearly stationary, and the National Hurricane Center discontinued advisories early on May 11. Hurricane Noel, although only a tropical storm when it battered Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Puerto Rico, became the deadliest storm of the season, killing over 150 people from flash flooding and mudslides. Wed, 24 Oct 2007 16:21:50 -0400 (AST) - Late season development close-by, Thursday, October 11, 2007, 5:20PM EDT - Fifteen

For the rest, all seems pretty quiet... -Gert, Friday September 7, 2007, 6:15PM EDT - Miskito Coast The Cape Verde season is not over... Actually, a 'few' years ago I looked at points of origin of tropical storms for the different months.

See some model forecast tracking maps at sfwmd.gov or wunderground.com.

Hopefully with the amount of traffic I am getting we are not going to crash that one :-).

[3] The extratropical storm tracked southeastward and later turned to the southwest while steadily deepening; on May 7, it attained hurricane-force winds. In addition, satellite imagery indicated a consolidation of the convection near the center, as well as hints of upper-level outflow and a contraction of the radius of maximum winds from more than 115 miles (185 km) to about 70 miles (120 km). Subtropical Storm Olga formed on December 10, becoming one of only 17 December storms to develop in the Atlantic.

I am a bit overwhelmed with e-mail and other web-stuff to post more frequently. [32], In Florida, waves of over 10 feet (3 m) in height capsized a boat near Lantana; the two occupants were rescued without injury.

Often not the winds but the torrential rains are the main threat with a tropical system, esp. To be most effective with your post: use good subject lines.

National Hurricane Center

Looking at the satellite image it looks pretty bad here, but we even had dinner on our deck! Although it might turn to the north a bit later, we still have to keep watching this system. Fifteen became hurricanes, including Katrina, which flooded New Orleans and caused $80 billion in damages. -Gert, Sunday August 19, 2007, 6:25PM EDT - GOES Satellite Although it seemed to weaken a bit yesterday it restrengthened and was a Category 5 storm again at landfall. Wednesday August 1, 2007, 11:45AM EDT - Wave